Seasonal-Trend decomposition: Normal Strom

Normal Strom

Seasonal-Trend decomposition using LOESS (STL)

Again, let’s see the raw data per week.

So, again, there does not seem to be a weekly pattern, nor a weekend thing going on.

Now let’s see the raw data within a month.

More variation, but again, no discernable pattern.

Year-month changes, perhaps something related to December where consumption could increase due to christmas lights?, and sommer due to the pool?

Well, small differences though.

Multiple Seasonal-Trend decomposition using LOESS (MSTL)

Prophet

Prophet shoud make it pretty straightforward to do something similar.

/home/runner/work/strom/strom/.venv/lib/python3.10/site-packages/plotly/io/_json.py:558: UserWarning:

Discarding nonzero nanoseconds in conversion.

Ok. Not worth it exploring further, or fine-tuning this.